Zulkifli Mantau, Feryanto W. Karo-Karo
Abstract: As a main producer of coconut’s world, the Indonesian
coconut become a great business which started from inputs provided
(seed, fertilizer, pesticide, etc.). Continued to production process, coconut
processing (derivate product) and supporting activities (finance irrigation,
transportation, trade, etc.). The objectives of this research are: 1) to
analyse the factors that influence the coconut production and earnings, 2)
to formulating the national policy to improve a coconut agribusiness in
Indonesia based on some improvement scenarios. The expected outputs
are: 1) the model of coconut agribusiness improvement in Indonesia, 2)
the national policy of coconut agribusiness improvement. The methods
use two least squares (2 SLS) method with built based on coconut
agribusiness model (two identity equation and four structural equation).
The results can be shown that a coconut production have a positive
relationship between size of planting area and coconut’s national earnings
but have a negative relationship between the amount of coconut tree
population and the price of coconut fruit. The estimation result of kopra
national production shown that there is a good expected estimation of a
whole estimation sign of explanatory variable. The estimation result of
coconut oil production shown that there’s a unexpected estimation of a
whole estimation sign of explanatory variable, especially in kopra
production variable and coconut oil demand. The estimation result of
coconut oil price shown that the decreasing of national export price of
coconut oil will be increasing the domestic price of kopra.
Keyword : Coconut, production, earnings
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